Rice (@1.5) vs UTSA (@2.55)
19-10-2019

Our Prediction:

Rice will win

Rice – UTSA Match Prediction | 19-10-2019 18:00

Rice Stadium is the venue for the game between the UTSA Roadrunners and the Rice Owls on Saturday, October 6, 2018. The opening line for this matchup has UTSA as 1 point favorites. The Owls are 2-3-0 against the spread and their over/under mark is 5-0-0. The Roadrunners are 0-4-1 ATS and their over/under record is 4-1-0.

Rice hasnt been out-athleted since conference play began but the wins have still eluded them. Both sides of the ball have shown flashes and revealed concerning gaps that the team had the open week to address. From the players to the coaches, the team that takes the field in San Antonio needs to find a way to win. The time for moral victories has long since come and gone.

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His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy,college and professional ranks.

Prediction

They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation averaging 15.7 points per game, which has them at 127th in D-1. The Owls have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 30.3 points per game ranking them 9th in Conference USA. Overall, they have allowed 966 yards rushing through 6 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Owls have allowed 992 yards. The Owls head into this matchup 0-6 for 2019. As a unit, they are averaging 122.8 rushing yards per game which is 11th in Conference USA. For total yards, they are currently ranked 12th in C-USA and 125th in D-1 with 1,729 yards. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush which has them at 8th in Conference USA and 80th in the country overall. When talking about rushing yards, Rice is giving up 161 yards per game putting them 8th in C-USA and 72nd in D-1. Teams are completing 66% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 9.2 yards per try.

As capable as the Rice defense has looked throughout this season, teams have been able to outscore the Owls. If Narcisse can be proficient enough through the air, hell keep the offense balanced and give his team its best chance to score. Otherwise, its going to be a tough day at the office for the UTSA offense. Narcisse is much more dangerous on the ground, averaging 5.7 yards per carry with three touchdowns.

Their punters have totaled 1,146 yards on 26 punts, averaging 44 yards per punt. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 62%. The Owls have attempted 13 field goals this season and made 8, which is 18th in D-1. The Rice Owls average 28 yards per kick return and they are 27th in the country in all-purpose yards with 2,613. That places them 27th in Division 1 in punting average. Rice kickers have made 100% of their extra points, going 13 for 13 this year. Rice has returned 25 kicks for 701 yards on special teams, ranking 1st in kick return yardage.

The teams defensive unit allowed the Blazers to rush for 198 yards on 41 attempts, along with one rushing TD. For UTSA, Lowell Narcisse completed eight-of-19 passes for 94 yards. UTSA just fell 33-14 to UAB. Austin Watkins shredded the defense, putting up 167 yards on six catches for UAB. Narcisse (89 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and Sincere McCormick (34 yards on 16 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Carlos Strickland II (two receptions, 41 yards) and Kirk Johnson Jr. (two catches, 19 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

The Roadrunners average 3.9 yards per play, which is 128th in college football. His quarterback rating this season is 103. He has passed for 766 yards this year. They have run 343 plays this year for 1,326 yards, which ranks them 99th in the nation in total offense. They are 110th in Division 1 in points scored with 99. The Roadrunners have been penalized on offense 27 times for 195 yards so far this year, which has them 85th in the country in penalties. They've run 163 times, averaging 2.9 yards per rush as a unit. As a team they have accumulated a total of 83 1st downs this season, ranking them 107th overall as an offensive unit. Cordale Grundy has completed 87 throws while attempting 159 passes for a completion percentage of 54.7%. He averages 4.9 adjusted yards per throw and 4.8 yards per pass attempt. The UTSA Roadrunners have run for 480 yards as a unit, which ranks 118th in the nation.

Features

The UTSA D has allowed 177.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 220.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Roadrunners are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.38 to opposing QBs, while the Owls have allowed a whopping 9.46 ANY/A. Defensively, Rice has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156 yards and pass for 250 yards per game.

If coaches are to be graded by winning games theyre supposed to win, there will be an added onus on Mike Bloomgren to lead his team to victory on Saturday. They won both of those games. Rice was favored in twice last season at home against Prairie View A&M and at home against Old Dominion. When lines opened for this game, Rice was listed as a road favorite against UTSA.

Lowell Narcisse led the team in rushing in the game. In the game, the Roadrunners had a total of 12 first downs and they totaled 9 infractions for 78 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. Leading the way at QB for the Roadrunners was Lowell Narcisse who went 8/19 with 94 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He tore off a long run of 25 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He scurried for 89 yards via 17 carries which meant he was running for 5.2 yards per tote. On the day, they ran 54 plays which gave them a total of 224 yards. For this contest, they gave up 496 yards and forced 2 turnovers. In their last game, the UTSA Roadrunners played the UAB Blazers and were defeated 33-14. On the ground, the Roadrunners gave up 202 yards on 39 tries which means they had an average of 5.2 yards per attempt allowed. He had an average of 20.5 yards per reception in the game. Carlos Strickland II was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 41 yards on 2 catches. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. When it comes to their defensive performance, UTSA gave up 17 completions on 26 attempts totaling 294 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.4%. The Roadrunners rushed the ball a total of 34 times and earned a total of 130 yards which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per attempt.

The UTSA pass defense has also surrendered a total of 1,290 yards in the air, which is 109th overall in total pass defense. They have had 32 penalties for 288 yards on defense this year. They have given up a total of 1,992 yards on D, which is 92nd in the nation. Opponent offenses have completed 85 throws on 131 attempts against the UTSA Roadrunners defense this season, ranking them 66th and 44th in the country. The Roadrunners rush defense has given up 179 attempts for 702 yards this season, putting them in 62nd place in the country against the run. That places them 86th in Division 1. The Roadrunners are 112th in yards per play allowed with 6.4. UTSA is 112th in college football in points surrendered on defense with 169.