Karlovskiy/Rublev (@1.72) vs Carballes Baena/Molteni (@2.0)

Our Prediction:

Karlovskiy/Rublev will win
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Karlovskiy/Rublev – Carballes Baena/Molteni Match Prediction | 18-09-2019 03:00

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Expect that to prove the difference. The Spaniard is a former US Open semifinalist, so there is no doubt that he can play on hard courts, although he had to work hard for his win over Marius Copil in the second round. The Spaniard can match Sonegos consistency and court coverage but is also more adept at stepping in and dictating. But he will find Carreno Busta a rather sterner test. Seventh seed Lorenzo Sonego, meanwhile, dismissed Damir Dzumhur with ease, dropping just five games. After a difficult year, Pablo Carreno Busta found some form in Cincinnati, coming through the qualifying to make the third round where he lost to Novak Djokovic.

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The Serbian hit the ball extremely well in that match and if he can continue to spread the court effectively, he should be in good stead to beat the misfiring Tiafoe. Filip Krajinovic, meanwhile, had to work hard for his second-round win as he finished strongly to beat the struggling Tomas Berdych 3-6 7-5 6-1. After his impressive run to the Australian Open quarterfinals earlier this season, Frances Tiafoe has rather failed to kick on. He has won just a handful of matches since the start of the grass-court season and may well have been grateful for his second-round opponent Jeremy Chardys retirement trailing 2-4.

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John Millman has played a lot of tennis this year, but he has struggled to replicate the successes of 2018. Robin Haase, meanwhile, has had a torrid time with injuries, but has impressed so far in North Carolina, beating Denis Kudla in straight sets before edging fourth seed Joao Sousa 4-6 6-3 6-4. Neither player is in particularly impressive form, but Millman has that much more match fitness after having played a full calendar this season and that should give him the edge in this one. Nonetheless, the Australian, who beat Marco Cecchinato from a set down in the second round after a first-round bye, remains a formidable competitor.