East Carolina (@8.5) vs NC State (@1.06)

Our Prediction:

NC State will win

East Carolina – NC State Match Prediction | 18-08-2019

This game was scheduled after both teams had a game canceled earlier this season. The NC State Wolfpack will try to finish their season in style with a game against an in-state foe, the East Carolina Pirates. Kickoff is scheduled for noon EST on Saturday, December 1, at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina. Fans can find the game on ACC Network Extra and local stations in ACC markets.

He should have no trouble picking apart a weak ECU defense. Plus, after a subpar outing against UNC last week, Finley should be motivated to finish his season on a high note, especially on senior day. NC State may be lacking a consistent rushing attack, but they do have a quarterback in Ryan Finley who has NFL potential. Finley has incredible accuracy and some dynamic playmakers around him.

Opposing offenses have completed 204 passes on 339 attempts against the East Carolina Pirates defense this season, placing them 43rd and 34th in the country. That ranks them 118th in the nation. They have surrendered a total of 4,623 yards on D, which is 62nd in Division 1. East Carolina is 99th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 391. The East Carolina pass defense has also given up a total of 2,820 yards through the air, which is 78th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has allowed 437 attempts for 1,803 yards this year, putting them in 50th place in D-1 against the run. The Pirates are ranked 91st in yards per play allowed with 6. The Pirates have committed 92 penalties for 831 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season.

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The Wolfpack have run for 1,492 yards as a team, which ranks 112th in the nation. They have run 828 plays this year for 5,003 yards, which ranks them 16th in the nation in total offense. He averages 8.4 adjusted yards per throw and 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Ryan Finley has completed 275 throws while attempting 408 passes for a completion percentage of 67.4%. They are 53rd in Division 1 in points scored with 369. His quarterback rating this season is 150.1. He has passed for 3,380 yards this year. They've run 409 times, averaging 3.6 yards per rush as a unit. The NC State Wolfpack average 6 yards per play, which is 53rd in college football. The Wolfpack have been penalized on offense 53 times for 521 yards so far this year, which has them 119th in the country in penalties. As a team they have accumulated a total of 268 1st downs this season, ranking them 38th overall as an offensive unit.

The Pirates have an ATS record of 4-7-0 while their over/under record is 6-5-0. The Wolfpack have an over/under record of 5-6-0 and they are 5-6-0 against the spread. The East Carolina Pirates travel to Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the NC State Wolfpack on Saturday, December 1, 2018. The opening line for this game has NC State as 25 point favorites.

The talent level is also at least a notch or two above what East Carolina has, save for Ahlers and Brown. The Wolfpack should have enough talent on defense to slow down a rather limited ECU offense. Outside of the ACC, the NC State defense hasnt given up more than 20 points in a game this season. Theyve also been a little more reliable when playing at home.

Geographically, they are located less than 100 miles apart. Also, for the past decade, the winner of each meeting has received the Victory Barrel trophy. Despite being in different conferences, there is a real rivalry between these two schools. While they dont meet every year, East Carolina has won the last three meetings, including a 33-30 win in 2016. In fact, NC State hasnt beaten the Pirates since 2008, so ECU will have no fear going up against their rivals from the ACC.

It also didnt help that the ECU offense turned the ball over five times. Last time out, they gave up 56 points and over 600 yards to a Cincinnati team that isnt even that explosive offensively. It was a similar story against the likes of Temple, Houston, and Memphis, and I expect the Pirates to give up a lot of points against the Wolfpack. Defensively, the Pirates are quite pitiful.


His accuracy has been spotty, especially against quality defenses. The Pirates have nearly as many issues on the offensive side of the ball. To be fair, the midseason switch to freshman quarterback Holton Ahlers has provided a spark. But Ahlers has thrown for big yardage and can cause problems with his legs. Unfortunately for the Pirates, they dont have much of a running game outside of Ahlers, nor do they have reliable receivers outside of senior Trevon Brown.

They have given up a total of 4,459 yards on D, which is 51st in the nation. The Wolfpack are 96th in yards per play allowed with 6. The NC State Wolfpack rush defense has given up 345 attempts for 1,278 yards this season, putting them in 13th place in the country against the run. That places them 44th in Division 1. They have had 79 penalties for 603 yards on defense this year. Opponent offenses have completed 244 throws on 403 attempts against the NC State defense this season, ranking them 108th and 102nd in the country. NC State is 38th in college football in points surrendered on defense with 270. The NC State Wolfpack pass defense has also surrendered a total of 3,181 yards in the air, which is 118th overall in total pass defense.

Their punters have totaled 2,879 yards on 73 punts, averaging 39 yards per punt. That places them 103rd in Division 1 in punting average. The Pirates average 18 yards per kick return and they are 57th in the country in all-purpose yards with 5,625. They've accumulated 105 punt return yards and average 7.4 yards per return, which is 81st in college football. East Carolina is ranked 95th in the nation in punt returns with 14. The East Carolina Pirates have attempted 20 field goals this season and made 18, which is 16th in D-1. They have returned 37 kicks for 652 yards on special teams, ranking 45th in kick return yardage. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 90%. East Carolina Pirates kickers have made 97% of their extra points, going 28 for 29 this year.

The Pirates have been penalized on offense 56 times for 527 yards so far this season, which has them 113th in the nation in penalties. His quarterback rating this year is 118.1. As a team they have accumulated a total of 270 1st downs this year, placing them 36th overall as an offensive unit. The Pirates average 5.2 yards per play, which is 104th in college football. Holton Ahlers has thrown for 1,785 yards this season. He averages 6.8 yards per pass attempt and 7.2 adjusted yards per throw. He has completed 127 passes on 263 attempts for a completion percentage of 48.3%. On the ground East Carolina has run for 1,525 yards as a team, which ranks 110th in the country. The East Carolina Pirates are 110th in Division 1 in points scored with 270. They've run 402 times, averaging 3.8 yards per carry as a rushing unit. They have run 944 plays this season for 4,869 yards, which ranks them 21st in the nation in total offense.