Arsenal (@1.4) vs Aston Villa (@7.5)
23-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Arsenal will win

Arsenal – Aston Villa Match Prediction | 23-09-2019 11:30

Truth be told, if we consider the attack of Arsenal to be a productive attack - thats going to be down to the efforts of PEA. The man capable of anything, seemingly acting on the whim of divine and unseen input. If there is an edge to Arsenal, it is because Aubameyang is providing it. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang exists as the video game striker.

Plus, if you want Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions, visit our Over 2.5 Goals tips page. MORE: Get the very latest Premier League tips for the next round of matches on our Premier League predictions page.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction

This is a club in transition, and from the outside it may look a dream. Where there have been cup finals, there have been ruthless thrashings. The internal workings of that dream though, are creepy, unsettling and no fun at all. Where philosophy existed, relentless tinkering and gameplans fill the void. Arsenal lack identity - and they arent able to chase the success craved so desperately by an outspoken and relentless fanbase.

The Villans are tough to beat at home, but they are not capable of matching top-table sides on the road. Unai Emerys troops are likely to stick to their attacking style of play against the newcomers and seeing that they are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we believe that there is a big value in betting on the capital club. In their last meeting at Emirates Stadium Arsenal recorded a 4-0 win over Aston Villa.

In the scatter graph above, produced by the excellent Experimental361, we can see that Aston Villa head the graph and fall into the competent but busy category when defensive effectiveness is highlighted. This shows that Aston Villa, more than most teams, are capable of absorbing shots. Villa are giving away around 18 shots a game, but are capable of accepting 15 before a goal is scored. A well-organised defence like Villas is able to restrict shooting space in the box and act on reflex, there is plenty of reason to have faith in that. Teams arent simply being wasteful against the Villa either - Tyrone Mings is the league leader in shots blocked per 90 minutes and Tom Heaton in goal is a superb shot-stopper.

Around the Club

However, their defensive issues are a very real concern and they face a Villa side who have found the net in 4 of their 6 competitive outings this season. The Gunners have won each of their last 6 competitive meetings with Aston Villa too, and considering they have won 11 of their last 14 Premier League home games, were expecting them to make it 7 in a row on Sunday.

2-2, and out of nothing more than a botched goal kick to flip the game state upon its head. Luiz overcommits, but he probably does it because he cant trust anyone but himself (funnily enough, nobody else can trust him). He gives away the penalty here and Watford bury it. Here, we have a mixture of both. He doesnt have anyone from the midfield aiding him, and hes having to point out another attacker to a defender - at the same time as his challenge. Sometimes, you dont make errors as an individual, you make them as a unit. Offering the weaker shooting opportunity is certainly better than giving away the penalty, but a rush of blood to the head is the decider. Its a mistake made and Luiz likely wont learn from this. Arsenals goal kick was proof enough of that.

Wesley will start up top and will be expected to lead the press. His return will be a small blessing to a Villa side in need of performances from the wing. Villas attack will need galvanising and the returning Trezeguet should assist with that. The Egyptian is second to Wesley in xG, and offers a more direct threat than Jota or Ahmed Elmohamady.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Preview

The Gunners experienced all sorts of problems at the back in their last league match, but they are still seen as hot favourites to pick up all three points from Sundays football game. After dropping a two-goal advantage in a 2-2 draw with Watford, Arsenal will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they host Aston Villa at their Emirates Stadium.